Texas holdem hand odds. It seems like there has to be a trick to get results versus multiple random hands from knowing the value for one random hand. Texas holdem hand odds

 
It seems like there has to be a trick to get results versus multiple random hands from knowing the value for one random handTexas holdem hand odds  How to Calculate Pot Odds and Equity in Texas Hold’em; Watch Jaime Staples discuss his opponent’s pre-flop range in the following exclusive video

1) Top Pair vs Flush Draw or Straight Draw. If we are 50% versus one random hand then against two random hands is 34% and three random hands is 21% with the calculators. probability. 2. In Texas Hold’em, you have two private hold cards, and there are five community cards. These two starting hands are the major players in hold’em. In order to find the odds of getting dealt a pair of Aces, we multiply the probabilities of receiving each card: (4/52) x (3/51) = (12/2652) = (1/221) ≈ 0. The following table shows my power rating for each initial 2-card hand in a 6-player game. Ratio method; Percentage method;. Examples: A♥ 2♥ vs K♣ Q♠ on a flop of K♥ T♣ 8♥; K♣ Q♠ vs 8♦ 7♥ on a flop of K♦ 9♣ 6♥. A fast Texas Holdem hand evaluator class library with a benchmark application. Preflop Probabilities in Poker. 065% of the time, while one-way straight hands make a straight on the flop . Except for a pair,look up your high card along the left and your low card along the top. Flop (5BB) A ♥ T ♦ 6 ♠ BB checks, CO bets 3. The Best Poker Hands Calculator. 5 ‘community cards’ are then dealt face up on the table, and you must make the best possible hand using any 5 of the 7 cards available to you using the hand rankings above. 000129282482. 1 to 1 (let's call it 4 to 1). To catch a flush on the flop you have a measly 0. Alternatively, 2. 3%. Hand. 64%. Determine if we can profitably call. In Short Deck, Flush ranks. Getting three of a kind is one of the best hands you can have after a flop, and playing it right will increase your chances of getting paid. Raise: Raise the opponent’s bet by a certain amount. 5% is assuming you see the hand all the way to the end, even after catching only one card of your suit on the flop. The following heads-up confrontations contain no pairs. 2023 EPT Cyprus. In the event of getting 2:1 pot odds, you would take 1/ (1+2) and see that you need at least 33% equity to continue. First of all, different betting options can have different odds. Before you jump in to play for yourself. A♣-A♦ and A♠-A♥ are different hands), but that is more of a “just for fun” number as suits have no value over each other in Texas Hold’em. Yes, 55 is a good hand to try to get a cheap look at the flop with. In fact you get either Aces or Kings once in every 110 hands, so it’s not nearly as often as we’d like. Preflop Poker Hand Charts. This hand consists of two aces. It is not vital that you learn these probabilities, but it is useful to be. Hand ranks, out odds and the basic play for Texas Holdem, Five Card Draw and Seven Card Stud. So the odds of getting 3 pair with a mixed hand would be 1. How to Calculate Pot Odds and Equity in Texas Hold’em; Watch Jaime Staples discuss his opponent’s pre-flop range in the following exclusive video. A list of every single two-card starting hand in Texas Hold’em along with its long-term winning percentage against 1-8 other players holding random cards. Narrowing the field means eliminating the other players for the hand. Below is an overview of the probability of getting certain hands in poker. Working with poker odds is your first step on the road to mastery of the mathematical side of poker. ACE-KING SUITED (BIG SLICK) Number 5 on our list is the first non-paired hand we have seen – ace-king suited. Nov 16, 2023. So basically, a set is when you make 3-of-a-kind when you're holding a pocket pair. Use Bet Shrew Poker Odds Calculator to calculate the odds of making a hand while playing Texas Hold‘em poker. The numbers are on a 0 to 40 scale. Of the 169 possibilities, the best starting hands in Texas Hold’em are A/A, K/K, Q/Q, A/K, and J/J. Work out pot odds. Pocket Queens 4. 90%. Texas Hold’em Hand Odds. Ultimate Texas Hold’em Rules. Odds of improving to one pair, three of a kind, or four of a kind on the flop. Calculate your odds & equity with this dual-function calculator/simulator. Players are dealt two "­hol­e" cards face down. 5) 2 ♠ BB checks, CO bets 9. Really you are counting and seeing 4 of a kind once every 100 - 150 hands. Higher odds mean a lower chance of winning, meaning that when the odds are large against you it’ll be a long time until you succeed. 4. There are two ways that you can work out pot odds in Texas Hold’em. Want to know your exact odds of winning, losing or spitting the pot in any poker scenario? PokerListings. The probability of a pair in poker is ~42%. If your hole cards (which you are dealt at the beginning of a hand) are suited and. You flat on the button with 6s5s, and the big blind comes along as well. 38-to-1) chance of making a flush. The user interface of the applications makes it. Pocket Queens (QQ) – 1. by FTR Poker Admin | Oct 8, 2023 | Poker Charts & Odds. From the chart above, we can see these odds are 6. 1. We always put our opponent on a range of poker hands, and with our Texas Holdem Odds Calculator, we can calculate the odds of us. There are four distinct parts to a Texas Hold'em hand: preflop, the flop, the turn, and the river. 00323% in Texas Holdem. If they wager during the Flop, they may wager 2x their initial Ante. This is strange to me given the. For this topic, please see my separate page on probabilities in Two-Player Texas Hold 'Em. Poker Tip #1. Blinds: Short for “blind bets,” these are the forced bets made before the cards are dealt. As an example, K, 8, 5, 3, 2 (a King-high Flush) is better than Q , J , 5 , 3 , 2 (a Queen. Preflop Folds to CO who opens to 2. You then run the checks described in the above paragraph, removing any hands that don't qualify. Pocket Kings (K ♦ K♣) The second best starting hand in Holdem. In the case of Texas Hold'em, there's the 2 pocket cards and 5 on the board. We will start with a back-to-basics view of poker hand odds for Texas Hold’em. Select each player’s hole cards by clicking on the card icons below the table. Poker odds give you the probability of winning any given hand. The winning odds of landing a pocket pair are 5. Poker Odds Charts. 6 percent chance to get a pocket pair in Short. The “$1/$2” denotes a $1 small blind and $2 big blind. , or one in three. Sometimes a made hand needs to draw to a better hand. The poker industry is believed to be worth over $14 billion. (52-5). Therefore, this poker cheat sheet will show you all the. In real Texas Hold Em, you’ll need to compare your hand to the cards on the table and create your highest hand of 5. Poker is a game of incomplete information as you do not have access to your opponent's hole cards while making your betting decisions. Get the odds behind the cards to give yourself the best chance possible in a hand with our Poker Hands Calculator! 888poker’s Poker odds Calculator is perfect for finding out where you stand in a hand. Each player's hand will be given its odds of winning and its odds of having a tie. Odds or receiving any pocket pair: 5. That probability goes up slightly if one of the aces and one of the kings share the same suit. ULTIMATE TEXAS HOLD’EM Hand Trips Bonus Blind Royal Flush 50 to 1 500 to 1 Straight Flush 40 to 1 50 to 1 Four of a Kind 20. 20%; European Roulette: 2. Preflop Planning is an excellent guide on how to think before the flop when deciding whether to fold, call or raise based on your position and starting hand. That means that out of the remaining 47 cards that could be in the deck, nine of them could complete your flush. #2. Of the 1,326 combinations, there are 169 distinct starting hands grouped into three shapes: 13 pocket pairs (paired hole cards), 13 × 12 ÷ 2 = 78 suited hands and 78 unsuited hands; 13 + 78 + 78 = 169. In those cases where you are putting your money in bad, the idea is that you are able to make a hand on a later street that is better than your opponent's. 144. If your hand is suited, match your hole cards in the upper right half of the table. Texas Holdem Heads-Up Preflop Odds. Players normally have nine outs, as determined in the section above. Get Your Miniature (Credit Card Sized) Texas Holdem Starting Hands Cheat Sheet; Poker Odds Cheat Sheet (for Texas Hold'em) How To Use This Pot Odds Cheat Sheet – Facing River Bet Example. Fold: Giving up on the hand, forfeiting all previous bets. P = 1/1326. Poker Odds Charts. There are (7 - 5)! / 2 = 21 total combinations of cards. Odds/probabilities will be generated by either a simulation (approximation) or full calculation (exact odds) for up to 9 players, depending on the number of "unknowns" and the current accuracy setting. For this reason, many players call this Six-Plus Hold'em. Let's start with some rather simple but quite important odds: being dealt aces. using 2 to 1 odds instead of 4 to 1 odds for a flush draw) is when your only opponent in all-in on the flop. However, there are implied odds to consider, and. 45%. 37%. Using our poker odds calculator engine, we first calculated the "fixed-preflop, post-river" winning probability of all 169 types of starting hands. Short Deck Poker is a variation of Texas Hold'em that uses a 36-card deck. The hand with the highest pair wins. Use our Texas Hold'em Poker Hand Calculator to calculate poker hand odds given a specific game setup. A total of 10 players can be calculated at once. 12 in 2652 is equivalent to 1 in 221, so there is a 1/221 = 0. In Texas Hold-Em Poker the odds of making a royal flush hand is only 649,739 to 1. In this lesson we’re going to run through a number of heads-up match-ups that will help give you an idea of where you stand in a variety of pre-flop situations when playing hold’em. You’ll want to raise or re-raise with them to narrow the playing field, protect your hand get more value. Poker Odds Charts. 3-to-1. Standard Equity Post-Flop in No-Limit Hold’em. 2 10 Texas Hold'em Tips: Playing Suited Connectors; 3 10 Hold'em Tips: The Fundamentals of Set Mining; 4 10 Hold'em Tips: Pot Odds Basics; 5 10 Hold'em Tips: Bluff Catching; 6 10 Hold'em Tips. King-Queen SuitedWorking with poker odds is your first step on the road to mastery of the mathematical side of poker strategy. This probability is approximated by running a Monte Carlo method or calculated exactly by simulating the set of all possible hands. So really, you are looking at calling $6. 000002% chance! If you have a suited hand with two high cards (like Q♠ J♠), you have a 1 in 19,600 chance of hitting a royal flush on the flop. In order to master poker, one must understand how poker probability works – and the odds of getting dealt or making specific poker hands in Texas Hold ’em Poker games, as well as being comfortable with the Hold’em poker hand rankings. In Hold’em a player only receives pocket Aces once every 221 hands on average. Cumulative probability refers to the probability of drawing a hand as good as or better than the specified one. Therefore, I will explain a simple rule, which will help you a lot with Texas Holdem odds. Then multiply the number of outs by two to give you your odds. Texas Hold’em starts with players receiving two cards each. The next best hand down on the list is called a Straight. That 6. Ace-Queen Suited 8. Here are some common Texas Holdem poker hand match-ups, so you can see your approximate chances of winning. One of the most important aspects of Texas Hold'em is the value of each two-card hand before the flop. The river is the final deciding factor in a complete poker hand. Odds can be expressed both “for” and “against”. poker! The odds of making both of these hands are very close in a game of Texas Hold’em. $5,300 No-Limit Hold'em. rust poker tensorflow ml cnn python3 cnn-keras texas-holdem texas. Poker Odds Calculator is a free Texas Hold'em, and Omaha Poker odds / equity calculator. The dealer arranges their cards into two poker hands, according to a set system known as the ‘House Way’. Firstly, we need to calculate our odds of improving our hand. You are on the flop with a pretty decent flush draw. Three of the five community cards come into play on the flop, and it is your first chance to make your best five-card. Sponsored by: You 0 % Player 1 0. The probability of getting that specific 4 of a kind again are now (48 choose 3) / (52 choose 7) or 0. Sixteen cards are removed from the deck (2s, 3s, 4s, 5s), so the 6-card is the lowest card in the deck. 6%. The following Texas Holdem odds table highlights some common probabilities that you may encounter in Hold'em. The odds of completing different draws by the turn or by the river and pot odds you need to continue in the hand with your draws. Ultimate Texas Holdem rules are simple. Odds – The Longshot. Royal Flush. Preflop Probabilities in Poker. Download our FREE ultimate Texas Hold’em Poker cheat sheet PDF. 24%: Percent that pocket aces will beat flopped two-pair. The following tables provide various probabilities and odds for many of the common events in a game of Texas hold 'em. Cards: Initial two-card hand. 2-7 offsuit. These were the cards on the board: Ah-8s-6s-4s-As. 000154%: 649,739 to 1: Straight Flush: 40:Play Ultimate Texas Hold’em for free to practice before moving on to real money wagering. The function calculate_odds_villan from holdem_calc calculates the probability that a certain Texas Hold’em hand will win. Certainly, hands like 2-2 to 5-5 should be folded to any LP raise. You might notice that because of this, we have also worked out that there are 1,326 possible combinations of starting hands in Texas Holdem. Odds of hitting Quads on the fourth street = 1/47 = 0. In Texas Hold 'Em a hand is said to be dominated if another player has a similar, and better, hand. Each player is dealt one card at a time face down, starting the player in the small blind (the direct left of the button). Pre-Flop Probabilities: Pre-flop probabilities refer to the probability of getting dealt a specific hand in the first round of betting. Hand: Probability: Two Suited Cards: 3. 63. Odds Charts: Ratio Chart: Percentage Chart : Conversion Chart This percentage poker odds chart highlights the percentage chance of completing your draw based on the number of outs you have at different points in a hand. Tell the dealer. 006%. If playing on the Turn/River, Players may only wager 1x their initial Ante. 70+BB Poker hand Percentage. If you hold suited cards you only have roughly a 6. PART 3. The numbers are on a 0 to 40 scale. Other poker odds charts. One major similarity between Texas Hold’em and Blackjack is that they require a great deal of skill. Function that gets a hand and uses bitshifting to calculate a hand value efficienly. Pocket Queens (QQ) – 1. Here, players have to calculate the total unseen cards. 5. A pair is dominated by a higher pair. 5. 1 10 Texas Hold'em Tips: The Check-Raise; 2 10 Texas Hold'em Tips: Playing Suited Connectors; 3 10 Hold'em Tips: The Fundamentals of Set Mining; 4 10 Hold'em Tips: Pot Odds Basics; 5 10 Hold'em. $5,300 No-Limit Hold'em. Use the top table if you have a pair, the middle table if your cards are suited, and the bottom table if your cards are unsuited. Let C be a card (as a repeated value) from the expected formation and let c be the number of your own hole C-cards. 36 percent favorite to win. 011214126. In Texas hold 'em, as in all variants of poker, individuals compete for an amount of money or chips contributed by the players themselves (called the pot). Firstly, we need to calculate our odds of improving our hand. You can use this to determine the number of outs required to continue based on the pot odds you are being offered. 5-1 against. May 3 1 Overview The word poker (the etymology of which continues to be a subject of debate) refers to a. Or prove that you made the right play based on the odds shown in the 888poker Poker Calculator. Texas Holdem Hand Odds Calculator. Those are the probabilities and odds for all Texas Hold’em Poker hands:In Texas Holdem all players have seven cards, the two hole cards in their hand and the five community cards that make up the board. The simulation is 916 more ties. High card, low card vs. com. 00. In Texas Hold’em, you try to make the best possible five-card hand out of seven cards. It ensures that if a hand is better than another in texas hold'em, this function returns a larger int for the better hand. Using bet and implied odds while playing texas holdem is a little difficult as it involves predicting reactions of the players. Click the yellow. Published: Oct 27, 2023. The odds against you flopping a set with a hand like 55 are pretty bad; about 7. In Limit Hold ’em, you can oNo-Limity raise the amount of the big blind and most cardrooms and oNo-Limitine poker rooms will cap the betting at 3 raises. Learn hand rankings, table positions & the best poker tips all from one. Therefore our current pot equity is 65% of $30, or put more simply, $19. Short Deck Holdem plays very differently than regular Texas Holdem. Six-Plus Poker began in the high-stakes poke r rooms of Macau casinos. The numbers are on a 0 to 40 scale. How to Count Your Outs. The Texas Hold’em odds of how likely hands are to unfold after the flop will help guide almost every action you make on the flop Odds On the Flop in Texas Hold’em. Follow these hand charts and learn how to play your starting hands at Texas Holdem. In our article on pot odds, we show you how to convert this to a percentage. Understanding what poker odds are, and how to use them, is essential if you are to ever win money over the long run in poker. The rank of a Flush is determined by the highest card in the hand, with an Ace-high Flush the strongest. 75 - net gain $6,366. Here are the most important odds for making poker Straight Texas Holdem hands: * The odds of flopping a Straight is 1,04% when you have any connected starting hand. Nov 21, 2023. 81%. Almost 60% of poker players are under the age of 35. When AQ is suited, it makes the odds of winning 20%. Ace-Queen Suited 8. Poker Probability and Odds In Texas Holdem. The last value of 44/46 is because you want to preclude quads from. Unlike other online Poker Odds Calculators, the Bet Shrew Poker Odds Calculator reflects this and. But this is the only time KK is dominated preflop. To calculate odds, do the following: Calculate the tentative ranks and the number of your poker cards and those of your opponents. 8%. The numbers are on a 0 to 40 scale. Here you’ll find the range of top-ranking poker hands from the very best, a Royal Flush, to the very worst, High Card. You don't have to select all five if your table is still at the flop or the turn — leave the undealt cards as Unknown. 000154% of the time. We provide 4 separate charts depending. Also known as the cowboys, Kings are an absolute monster hand preflop with only better hand being Aces. This way of working out the probabilities would be the more accurate way - however, just to note, the probabilities worked out on 5 of 52 are practically the same, and far easier to calculate. You can see the value of specific hands for these stacks through a Texas Holdem odds calculator. That's less than a 0. Want to know how far ahead or behind you are in a Texas Hold’em hand against one, two or more opponents? Our poker calculator is the perfect medium for finding out the odds in any given situation. The odds of each hand winning will start calculating and adjust based on the community cards you add. If nobody has entered the pot, nearly all training resources recommend that, if our hand is playable, we should enter the pot with. Most players rarely get to form a Royal Flush, a Straight Flush, or Four of a Kind – they are scarce hands in competitions. The following table shows my power rating for each initial 2-card. Each player's hand will be given its odds of winning and its odds of having a tie. Group 1: AA, KK. So, on basic principles, you are 6x times likely to make a full house or better at Omaha 8 then in Hold'em (with both hole cards. Pocket Queens 4. Texas Hold’em Poker Hand Example. Texas Holdem Odds Outs 2 Cards To Go 1 Card To Go 21 70% 45% 20 68% 43% 19 65% 40% 18 62% 38% 17 60% 36% 16 57% 34% 15 54% 32% 14 51% 30% 13 48% 28% 12. The following list gives the odds for outcomes in Texas hold’em hands. Texas Holdem Expected Value Hand Charts – 5 Players. Getting a full house will win 9% of games. Knowing how good your starting hand is preflop or your odds of catching your nut flush by the river should really change the way you play the game. All of the deuces to fives are removed to make the total deck just 36 cards. There are 133,784,560 to deal 7 random cards. For example, if you have two cards of the same suit in Texas Hold’em and are hoping to make a flush, your odds of hitting that flush on the flop are approximately 1 in 3, or 33. The strongest starting hand in Holdem. Also known as the bullets or rockets, Aces are a 4:1 favourite over pretty much any other hand. DEFINITION / EXAMPLE. Probability helps assess the likelihood of different outcomes, influencing when to bet, raise, call, or fold. Definition of a One Pair – Holding two cards of identical rank. AA can make a flush and steal some of those ties. The cards are dealt clockwise around the table until each player has two cards. Poker odds charts come in useful when you want to quickly work out the odds of winning a hand in Texas Hold'em. Odds Odds show the probability of one of the next community cards being one of your outs. So 99:1 is 1 in 100 hands. Use this tool to calculate the odds of winning and losing in any poker hand, including Texas Holdem, Omaha, Omaha Hi-Lo, 7-Card Stud, 7-Card Stud Hi-Lo and Razz. 3. This means 66+ and includes all pairs from. In the final hand of Casino Royale, four players move all-in on the river and Bond scoops the $115 million pot, thanks to smart play. Do not show your hand to other players at the table while a hand is in progress. Only a few of these same people understand that the worst starting hand changes when you get down to heads-up. 07%. An In-Depth Guide to Hand Ranges in No-Limit Hold’em. Below is our newly developed Texas Holdem Odds Calculator – which does more than just compare your hand against another hand, but can compare your hand against a RANGE of Holdem hands. Two cards are then dealt face down to the players and the dealer. Mathematics: Flushes & Straights : Simple Pot Odds: Implied Odds: Reverse Implied Odds. 27. Put more straightforward, it usually refers to the percentage chance that you’ll win a hand at any given point. When the flop is dealt with on the table, there are a total of 2 hole cards, 3 Flop cards= 5 Cards. Odds of (at least) two pair: 38. According to Wikipedia, the probability of being dealt any pocket pair as the starting hand is ~6% (78/1326=0. If a player has a flush draw in Hold'em, the probability to flush the hand in the end is 34. A pair is dominated by a higher pair. To catch 2 cards of your suit on the flop you have a 10. (52-5). Although 4 th on the list, it is still a very strong hand in Hold’em and is rarely beat on the river. We have two cards showing (your own pocket cards), 50 unknown cards and C(50, 3) = 19600 possible combinations for the flop cards. Two undercards. You are allowed to make your hand from any permutation of these seven cards (using both, one, or neither of your hold cards). Student Login; Courses; Books;. Then, select the community cards, which are the cards dealt to the table and are available to all players. Poker percentages refer to the current chance of your hand winning at showdown. 7-to-1. 97 percent if there are two more cards to come, and 19. The following table ranks the top hands in a 10-player game. Really you are counting and seeing 4 of a kind once every 100 - 150 hands. 66): 66 will win 55% of the time. If there is no raise preflop, the big blind may check. Essentially, we use the winning chance as a measure of hand strength. Pocket Tens 7. Cards: Initial two-card hand. That means some pretty big changes to the poker hand rankings, game dynamics and to standard Texas Holdem. The odds of each hand winning will start calculating and adjust based on the community cards you add. The numbers are on a 0 to 40 scale. To put this in perspective, if you’re playing poker at your local casino and are dealt 30 hands per hour, you can expect to receive pocket Aces. CALL: match the bet put into the pot. Ask Question Asked 6 years, 4 months ago. A solid understanding of hand odds, or the probability that you will be dealt certain hands, is crucial to formulating a winning strategy in Texas Hold’em. 64. Express your hand percentage as a whole number. Implied Odds. As we can see by using a Texas Holdem hand odds calculator, the likelihood that we win this hand is 82. Click "Deal In" below the greyed-out cards to add more players. This shows that there are 48 unseen cards. You are not playing with 5 cards you are playing with 7. Here are the guidelines: If applicable, pairs come first. While playing texas holdem game, the usefulness of hand odds and pot odds becomes very evident when you start comparing the two. Read more. Of course you should be more be more liberal in late position and picky in early position. The "Texas Hold'em Starting Hands" entry on Wikipedia plots out why this is:There are (52 × 51)/2 = 1,326 distinct possible combinations of two hole cards from a standard 52-card deck in Hold'em, but since suits have no. Almost all players will fold a two pair here, not wanting to draw to four or fewer odds against a made hand. Before the flop is where it all starts, where you are forced to make your first. These statistics were produced by using millions of hand histories to compute the following results. Odds of hitting a trips on the flop = 73. When the flop is dealt with on the table, there are a total of 2 hole cards, 3 Flop cards= 5 Cards. 18. Pocket Aces: According to GGPoker's Probability Chart, you should expect to pick up aces every 221 hands. Poker Hand Rankings are essential when playing Texas Hold'em, Five Card Stud, Omaha, and your favourite poker games. Since all the cards except the two known to you, are unknown the odds do not change in respect to how you count you outs of hitting a particular hand or card. The game utilizes a standard 52 card deck of playing cards, and all cards hold their traditional poker values, so 2s are the lowest rank and Aces are the highest. )*. 1. King-Queen SuitedWorking with poker odds is your first step on the road to mastery of the mathematical side of poker strategy. To use the poker hand odds calculator, follow these easy steps: First, select which two cards you've been dealt. After the blinds are posted, the dealer begins dealing one card at a time to each player, starting. Let's start with some rather simple but quite important odds: being dealt aces. Find out how to calculate your odds of hitting. This changes the odds and probabilities for all poker hands a bit. Pocket Kings (K ♦ K♣) The second best starting hand in Holdem. Against aces, they are the underdog and will win only 18% of the time, which is less than 1 out of 5 times. The strongest starting hand in Holdem. When faced with a raise during the pre-flop betting round in Texas Hold’em poker, each player has three options: 1. Then, we ranked and ordered the starting hands from the best to worst in the table and chart below. If your cards do not match the combinations listed above, then the winning hand comes down to the one who holds the highest ranking card. Aces are by far the best possible starting hand in hold’em, closely followed by Kings. The Holdem Calculator also shows how likely each set of hole cards is to make a certain poker hand. Poker equity refers to the portion of the pot that should/could be yours according to the likelihood of winning the hand right now, whether it’s preflop, on the flop, on the turn, or on the river.